THE cast of probable winners in the scheduled May 13, 2019 mid-term polls remain unchanged except for the positioning as Sen. Cynthia Villar (62%) dislodges Sen. Grace Poe (59.7%) from the top spot as former Senator and Rep. Pia Cayetano (56.3%) and Sen. Nancy Binay (50%) keep their third and fourth spots in the Pulso ng Pilipino last quarter survey of The Issues and Advocacy Center (The CENTER).
The non-commissioned survey was conducted from Dec. 03 to 09, 2018 with some 1,200 respondents who are eligible to vote in the 2019 senatorial and local elections. The survey has a confidence level of 98% and a margin of error of + 3.5%.
If the May 13, 2019 senatorial elections are held at the time the survey was extracted, four of the seven incumbent Senators who are running for reelection are assured of serving a second six-year term when the 18th Congress opens on July 23, 2019. As the respondents were asked whom they will vote from among those in the list of 146 senatorial candidates, the survey results showed a strong bias towards four incumbent Senators, five comebacking Senators, the former Presidential Political Adviser and the former Director General of the Philippine National Police.
In its list of senatorial aspirants who emerged as the most likely to make it to the winner’s circle if the elections were to be held today are: 1. Sen. Cynthia Villar (62%), 2. Sen. Grace Poe (59.7%), 3. Former Sen. Pia Cayetano (56.3%), 4.Sen. Nancy Binay (50%), 5.Former Sen. Lito Lapid (47%), Sen. Koko Pimentel (44.8%) is tied at 6th to 7th place with former SenN. Jinggoy Estrada (44.2%), 8. Former Sen. Serge Osmena (40.3%), Lawyer Francis Tolentino remains strong in 9th position with (32)%), 10. Gen. Bato Dela Rosa (29.6%), 11. Former Sen. Mar Roxas (27%), and 12. Former Sen. Bong Revilla (25%).